After releasing my 2015 fantasy guide, which you can download for free, I took a much needed break. After I got to recharge the batter I’m proud to share my 12-team mixed league action values (for redraft leagues). If you have any questions about my valuations you can reach me on Twitter @MattCommins.
You can download my values here.
Before downloading please read my methodology. I believe in the SGP method to determine my values. I’ve looked at the PVM and Standard Deviation models, but SGP method makes the most inherent and practical sense. I do not believe there is a 100% accurate way to generate values.
My values are based on a 70%/30% allocation for hitting and pitching respectively. The commonly used breakout is 67%/33%, which is totally fine. However, since I’ve been playing fantasy baseball for more than ten years I know my strength is finding pitching on the waiver wire so my draft strategy is to be as aggressive as possible with hitters because I know I can find pitching later in the season.
When you download my values you’ll notice there are no $1 players and the total doesn’t add up to $3,120 (assuming each player has a budget of $260). That’s because I used mono (i.e. AL or NL-only) league values. “But Matt your values are for mixed leagues, not mono leagues!” I’ve tried creating auction values with mixed league formulas, but I haven’t found a way to provide values that accurately reflect how much players will go for in drafts.
For example, my mixed league values say Mike Trout is worth $32. My AL-only value says he’s worth $41.5. Of the two values he’ll likely go between $41-45 on draft day. So instead of continuing to find the proper mixed league formula I’ve decided to use mono values and create a rule of thumb for my valuations for mixed leagues. This is the same rule of thumb I used last year and I had really good results.
That rule of thumb can be found in the tables below. If a hitter is valued between $26-30 then he’ll likely go for a $1-7 discount during the auction. The goal of the draft is to accumulate as much value as possible for the lowest cost. Therefore, my minimum discount is $7. These tables are largely based Larry Schechter’s book: Winning Fantasy Baseball.
| Hitters’ Values | Avg. Price Range | Minimum Discount |
| $31+ | $2 discount to overpay by $2 | $2 |
| $26-30 | $1-7 | $7 |
| $21-25 | $5-11 | $11 |
| $17-20 | $10-14 | $14 |
| $13-16 | $10-14 | $14 |
| < $12 | Only pay $1 | – |
| Ptichers’ Values | Avg. Price Range | Minimum Discount |
| $31+ | $2-6 | $6 |
| $21-30 | $3-7 | $7 |
| $9-20 | $4-8 | $8 |
| < $8 | Only pay $1 | – |
Lastly, you’ll find my system for evaluating catchers. Catcher is the only position that truly is scarce. The reason why I say that is because if you have $1 left you’ll get much more value drafting any other hitter than a catcher with that $1.
| Catchers’ Values | Avg. Price Range | Minimum Discount |
| $17+ | $2 discount or overpay by $2 | $2 |
| $11-16 | $1-5 | $5 |
| $6-10 | $2-6 | $6 |
| < $5 | Only pay $1 | – |
