The lined opened at Miami +1.5 so the early round of money is on Buffalo, which is a bet I would have easily made. Now the line has increased one point gave me pause. How much stock do I put the Dolphins latest performance, which was awful, from how they looked earlier in the season? The last two weeks the Dolphins defense has looked bad, especially the secondary.The Bills run their offense out of the shotgun and love to throw the ball. I think Fitzpatrick exploits the beleaguered pass defense of the Dolphins to a victory.

Most importantly, Fred Jackson is out for the game, which actually gives the Bills a better shot at winning. CJ Spiller will get all the work. Spiller is by far the more talented football player; he’s quicker, faster, better pass catcher; it boggles my mind that he’s not utilized more.

I expect a continued 50/50 split between Reggie Bush and Daniel Thomas; a bounce back game for Ryan Tannehill; Brian Hartline to continue to get the lions share of the targets;