These matchups and statistical data were pulled Saturday morning to help fantasy baseball owners plan their week. Please be aware the matchups are subject to change. The original post can be found be found at Through the Fence Baseball.
Top Starters
Rank |
Name |
Team |
Opp. |
ERA |
K% |
BB% |
1 |
STL |
CHC, TEX |
2.18 |
24.2% |
2.2% |
|
2 |
TEX |
OAK, @STL |
2.64 |
34.0% |
7.8% |
|
3 |
DET |
BAL, BOS |
3.19 |
31.0% |
6.4% |
|
4 |
DET |
BAL, BOS |
3.41 |
27.5% |
7.6% |
|
5 |
KC |
@CLE, CWS |
2.79 |
22.7% |
6.5% |
|
6 |
STL |
CHC, TEX |
2.21 |
28.7% |
5.4% |
|
7 |
NYM |
@ATL, @PHI |
2.04 |
27.4% |
5.4% |
|
8 |
LAD |
@SD |
1.88 |
24.6% |
7.2% |
|
9 |
SEA |
OAK |
1.79 |
24.5% |
3.9% |
|
10 |
CWS |
@MIN |
2.43 |
26.0% |
5.7% |
|
11 |
WSH |
COL |
2.54 |
24.6% |
7.1% |
|
12 |
SEA |
@LAA |
2.49 |
26.6% |
5.0% |
|
13 |
PHI |
WSH |
2.55 |
22.3% |
4.3% |
|
14 |
WSH |
COL |
2.00 |
16.6% |
3.5% |
|
15 |
ATL |
NYM |
2.44 |
23.7% |
5.2% |
|
16 |
NYY |
LAD |
2.78 |
17.2% |
5.4% |
|
17 |
SF |
SD |
3.30 |
24.8% |
7.0% |
|
18 |
LAD |
@SD |
3.68 |
16.8% |
6.8% |
|
19 |
LAA |
PIT |
3.76 |
17.4% |
6.6% |
|
20 |
CIN |
@ARI |
2.17 |
23.8% |
9.1% |
|
21 |
BOS |
TB, @DET |
1.71 |
24.9% |
8.9% |
Additional Information: It looks as though Clay Buchholz is fully recovered from the irritated AC joint and neck stiffness, and he should be added to your starting lineup. Supposing Stephen Strasburg comes off the DL on Sunday (June 16), he is expected to start this week against the Rockies. With Troy Tulowitzki on the DL for four to six weeks, the Rockies lineup is going to be Carlos Gonzalez, two young, unproven prospects (Josh Rutledge and Nolan Arenado) and a lot of fringe average offensive players; the Rockies are now a great stream option when they are on the road.
Backend Starters
Rank |
Name |
Team |
Opp. |
ERA |
K% |
BB% |
22 |
SF |
SD, MIA |
4.70 |
21.5% |
8.0% |
|
23 |
SD |
@SF, LAD |
3.51 |
17.3% |
6.8% |
|
24 |
CIN |
PIT, @ARI |
3.08 |
20.8% |
6.1% |
|
25 |
KC |
@CLE |
2.74 |
19.7% |
3.6% |
|
26 |
CHC |
@STL, HOU |
3.46 |
27.5% |
8.7% |
|
27 |
ARI |
MIA, CIN |
2.28 |
19.3% |
6.3% |
|
28 |
Hyun-Jin Ryu |
LAD |
@NYY, @SD |
2.85 |
21.7% |
7.2% |
29 |
STL |
CHC |
3.00 |
24.9% |
8.8% |
|
30 |
OAK |
@SEA |
2.92 |
15.0% |
3.1% |
|
31 |
DET |
BAL |
4.37 |
20.9% |
4.6% |
|
32 |
TEX |
@STL |
3.11 |
22.9% |
6.3% |
|
33 |
CIN |
PIT |
3.47 |
24.6% |
6.5% |
|
34 |
ATL |
NYM |
3.10 |
17.4% |
6.8% |
|
35 |
DET |
BOS |
2.65 |
31.2% |
6.1% |
|
36 |
DET |
BOS |
3.28 |
19.4% |
3.4% |
|
37 |
ATL |
@MIL |
3.62 |
18.2% |
4.7% |
|
38 |
MIA |
@ARI |
3.11 |
25.8% |
9.0% |
|
39 |
WSH |
@PHI |
3.40 |
23.1% |
11.0% |
|
40 |
ATL |
NYM-2, @MIL |
3.65 |
16.9% |
7.1% |
Additional Information: In his last nine starts, Rick Porcello has a 2.84 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 25.6 percent strikeout rate and 4.6 percent walk rate. Porcello is a top 30-35 starting pitcher the rest of the year. Shockingly, Bartolo Colon is only owned in 80.6 percent of ESPN leagues. Colon doesn’t strike anyone out, but he’s the perfect companion pitcher for high strikeout, poor WHIP pitchers (I’m looking at you Ryan Dempster). After a brief rough patch in late April, Jose Fernandez has a 2.42 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and 27.4 percent walk rate. With Logan Morrison and Giancarlo Stanton back in the Marlins lineup, Fernandez may have an opportunity to pitch with a lead and earn more wins.
Spot Starters
Rank |
Name |
Team |
Opp. |
ERA |
K% |
BB% |
41 |
OAK |
@TEX, @SEA |
4.45 |
16.3% |
9.1% |
|
42 |
OAK |
@TEX, @SEA |
4.45 |
19.6% |
6.7% |
|
43 |
HOU |
CWS, @CHC |
3.47 |
16.1% |
7.9% |
|
44 |
CIN |
PIT, @ARI |
2.75 |
17.5% |
5.3% |
|
45 |
NYY |
TB |
4.07 |
20.9% |
4.5% |
|
46 |
PHI |
NYM |
4.45 |
22.2% |
7.0% |
|
47 |
CLE |
MIN |
4.08 |
24.4% |
5.1% |
|
48 |
TB |
@NYY |
2.95 |
22.6% |
6.2% |
|
49 |
COL |
@WSH |
2.14 |
21.9% |
7.3% |
|
50 |
NYY |
TB |
3.95 |
18.0% |
6.6% |
|
51 |
NYY |
TB |
3.90 |
24.2% |
10.4% |
|
52 |
MIA |
@SF |
3.80 |
19.8% |
6.0% |
|
53 |
PIT |
@LAA |
2.86 |
7.4% |
0.0% |
|
54 |
CLE |
KC |
3.52 |
24.1% |
9.7% |
Additional Information: Dan Straily has looked great in his last five starts, recording a 2.20 ERA and 0.77 WHIP. The biggest adjustment he’s made is he’s no longer trying to strike everyone out; he has a 16.3 percent strikeout rate in that time frame compared to 23.1 percent to begin the year. Instead, he’s following Colon’s lead and throwing a lot of strikes, nearly 70 percent of them. Tyler Chatwood, only owned in 9 percent of ESPN leagues, is a must stream in all formats. The Nationals have the third lowest OPS in the league (ahead of the Mets and Marlins). Corey Kluber is only owned in 2 percent of ESPN leagues despite striking out 24.5 percent of batters and only walking 5 percent of batters. If he’s available, go get him.
Proceed With Caution
Rank |
Name |
Team |
Opp. |
ERA |
K% |
BB% |
55 |
LAA |
SEA, PIT |
3.74 |
14.6% |
8.0% |
|
56 |
LAA |
SEA |
3.90 |
21.2% |
9.8% |
|
57 |
MIL |
@HOU |
3.84 |
15.0% |
4.0% |
|
58 |
CIN |
PIT |
3.27 |
13.8% |
3.9% |
|
59 |
CWS |
@MIN, @KC |
3.86 |
16.9% |
6.8% |
|
60 |
NYM |
@ATL-2 |
#N/A |
#N/A |
#N/A |
|
61 |
PHI |
WSH |
3.76 |
14.4% |
6.4% |
|
62 |
CHC |
@STL |
5.40 |
21.6% |
8.8% |
|
63 |
MIA |
@ARI, @SF |
1.80 |
16.7% |
9.0% |
|
64 |
BOS |
@DET |
3.14 |
21.4% |
6.2% |
|
65 |
HOU |
MIL, @CHC |
3.48 |
18.4% |
7.2% |
|
66 |
CWS |
@KC |
3.12 |
23.5% |
11.8% |
|
67 |
CLE |
KC, MIN |
4.79 |
23.3% |
11.8% |
|
68 |
BAL |
@DET |
3.61 |
20.1% |
8.6% |
|
69 |
OAK |
@TEX |
3.61 |
19.6% |
5.1% |
|
70 |
OAK |
@TEX |
3.78 |
19.3% |
5.8% |
|
71 |
PIT |
@CIN |
2.19 |
18.1% |
10.9% |
|
72 |
Ryan Dempster |
BOS |
@DET |
4.21 |
24.3% |
11.2% |
73 |
WSH |
@PHI, COL |
3.02 |
11.5% |
4.6% |
|
74 |
TOR |
COL, BAL |
5.39 |
19.5% |
8.7% |
|
75 |
ATL |
NYM, @MIL |
4.41 |
17.9% |
5.6% |
|
76 |
CHC |
@STL, HOU |
2.65 |
18.0% |
8.4% |
|
77 |
BOS |
@DET |
4.11 |
18.9% |
8.7% |
|
78 |
MIL |
ATL |
4.74 |
18.3% |
8.0% |
|
79 |
ARI |
MIA |
3.96 |
16.6% |
9.0% |
|
80 |
CWS |
@MIN |
4.13 |
19.4% |
3.2% |
|
81 |
MIL |
@HOU |
3.47 |
19.3% |
3.6% |
Additional Information: The big name on this list is Zack Wheeler. The Braves strikeout the most of any team in the majors, so I couldn’t think of a better opportunity to showcase his plus stuff. In his last four starts, Ubaldo Jimenez has a 2.35 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 20.6 percent strikeout rate and 12.4 percent walk rate. Those numbers are not overly impressive but, he achieved those numbers @Texas, @Detroit, @Cincinnati and Tampa Bay. With two great matchups against the Royals and the Twins, Jimenez is worth the roll of the dice if you’re looking for a strikeout infusion for your team. However, Doug Thorburn recently wrote his posture is still very bad and is causing him to lose his release point. Hector Santiago has pitched great, but he’s facing the Royals who have the 10th highest OPS against lefties. Jordan Lyles has pitched very well in his last six starts, but he’s not as good as the 1.67 ERA and 1.09 WHIP would indicate. In those six starts he’s faced the Mariners, Rockies, Pirates, Angels and the Royals twice; not exactly the best offenses in the majors. Lyles doesn’t have overly impressive stuff, but has plus (on the scouting scale) command of the fastball (sits at 89-92 mph) and command of his other three pitches (change-up, slider and curveball). A profile like his is not a profile of a pitcher you want on your fantasy team because he doesn’t miss enough bats, and his performance from start to start are more difficult to predict.
Avoid
Rank |
Name |
Team |
Opp. |
ERA |
K% |
BB% |
82 |
SEA |
@LAA, OAK |
5.59 |
22.1% |
3.8% |
|
83 |
PIT |
@CIN, @LAA |
2.36 |
27.4% |
9.5% |
|
84 |
TEX |
OAK |
5.89 |
21.3% |
6.4% |
|
85 |
SD |
@SF |
3.27 |
16.6% |
5.0% |
|
86 |
SF |
MIA |
4.69 |
23.4% |
10.2% |
|
87 |
NYM |
@ATL, @PHI |
4.84 |
19.8% |
6.3% |
|
88 |
TEX |
OAK, @STL |
4.30 |
17.4% |
5.9% |
|
89 |
SF |
MIA |
2.32 |
22.7% |
8.5% |
|
90 |
LAD |
@SD |
3.73 |
22.6% |
7.5% |
|
91 |
SEA |
@LAA |
4.80 |
12.4% |
7.4% |
|
92 |
TEX |
OAK |
5.58 |
18.0% |
7.2% |
|
93 |
COL |
@TOR, @WSH |
3.49 |
16.1% |
8.2% |
|
94 |
COL |
@TOR |
4.86 |
15.8% |
8.4% |
|
95 |
ARI |
CIN |
4.89 |
16.9% |
7.9% |
|
96 |
CHC |
@STL |
3.22 |
17.8% |
6.6% |
|
97 |
TB |
@NYY |
4.91 |
20.7% |
6.2% |
|
98 |
TOR |
BAL |
5.11 |
16.9% |
9.3% |
|
99 |
TB |
@BOS-2, @NYY |
4.80 |
19.4% |
13.4% |
|
100 |
COL |
@WSH |
4.52 |
15.0% |
8.0% |
|
101 |
PHI |
NYM |
3.70 |
14.7% |
7.9% |
Additional Information: You may have noticed Matt Moore is not in my top 101. In his last nine starts he has a 6.38 ERA, 1.80 WHIP, 12 percent walk rate and only a 14.7 percent strikeout rate. Those peripherals look like they belong to a fifth starter, not the best prospect in 2012 according to Baseball Prospectus. What’s most bothersome about Moore’s performance has been the decrease in his fastball velocity (two mph) compared to last year. I’m not starting him until he puts together a string of good starts.