Villar’s skill set doesn’t offer a lot of real life upside, but he offers a ton of fantasy upside because of his plus-plus speed. After his call-up to the majors he had 18 stolen bases in 58 games. At that rate, if he played 145 games he would have had 45 stolen bases, which would have him tied for third most in the majors. Since he’s a plus-plus runner he should have a higher BABIP, which helps explain the .362 BABIP last year. However, with that really high BABIP he only had a .243 batting average, which means if the BABIP regresses how low will his batting average be?

The scouting reports suggest he’ll struggle against right handed pitchers due to the flat plane of his swing. Against righties he had a .374 BABIP compared to a .333 BABIP against lefties last year. I expect his batting average to regress against righties which means he’ll likely be a .230 hitter who could steal 40-plus bases. Even though he’s not a good hitter he’ll get every opportunity to play every day so the odds of him reaching 40-plus stolen base target is extremely possible. In dynasty formats be careful about keeping him because Carlos Correa, the number one pick in 2012s draft, could be in the majors as early as 2014. And with second and third already filled with solid players, Villar may end up as a bench only player in 2015.

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