If you like what you’re reading then you will like my 2015 Fantasy Baseball Guide! Last year’s fantasy guide was more than 150,000 words and had 440 player profiles (of hitters and pitchers). My approach to player evaluation is to ask questions about what the player has done in the past and what he may do in the future. I certainly provide a narrative on how I feel a player will perform, but I also ask a lot of open ended questions that I hope will get you thinking about the information I’ve provided.

After suffering a brutal, freak ankle strain in 2013 Jose Reyes bounced back and nearly played a full season. In early April he missed 16 games with a hamstring strain. Since 2009 he’s only averaged 115 games played. Other than 2013 ankle strain all of his injuries have been tissue based injuries. For example, an oblique strain in 2010, hamstring strains in 2011 (twice) and in 2014. These types of tissue injuries means there’s a higher likelihood of re-injury in the future because these injuries are due to the body breaking down. And since he’ll turn 32 in June the probability of tissue injuries reoccurring again in 2015 are high.

Some fantasy owners may bucket Reyes as a speed-first player and usually these types of players see a dramatic drop in fantasy production after they turn 31 (the best current example is Michael Bourn). However, Reyes does have a lot of speed, but he has a little pop too, averaging nearly 10 home runs a year. The question is there a chance he could go back to the 16-19 home runs he hit in his early 20s?

Last year he had 4.7% HR/FB rate, which is 1.3 percentage points lower than his career rate. What’s also odd about the low HR/FB rate is he plays in a bam box of a home ballpark. Last year his home HR/FB rate was 5.4%, which is still below the career rate. He’s hitting more fly balls, which is great because if the HR/FB positively regresses and he plays in 140 games (which is a big if) he could hit 13-15 home runs.

Like Troy Tulowitzki, if you draft Reyes you want to draft another shortstop and put him in your middle infield spot because if Reyes gets hurt you’ll have more options on the waiver wire. Considering his propensity of tissue injuries I cannot project to play more than 130 games, but if he can play that many games I can see him nearly repeating 2013s numbers with room for a little more pop.

I’m projecting 550 ABs with a .289 AVG, 13 HRs, 53 RBI, 90 R and 30 SBs.